is pennsylvania, a red or blue state 2020
Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. You have entered an incorrect email address! Same for GA senate races Charlie. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). Press Enter to view state-level map. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. In September, just eight states had. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. Independent candidate Ralph Nader did not win any electoral votes, yet he received 2% of the vote of voters from high-income households and voters with graduate degrees. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. You have to beware with these reports, though. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Use arrow keys to move around the map. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! These are general election results for the years listed. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. All Rights Reserved. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). Idaho. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. 4, another 2020 red state. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. We identify swing states as. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". What determines a state's "color"? Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. Forty-seven of the 50 states were consistent in voting for George W. Bush or his Democratic opponent in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. 10. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. It feels like the new Florida. These are general election results for the years listed. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat! Vice versa for Montana. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Success! *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. (PA, GA, MI)". However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". Is Missouri a red state? McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Anita What do you want to know? Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. The Hill . Trump:61,386 (60.51%) Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. I think it's the state to watch. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. And West Virginia is losing. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. Electoral votes invalidated. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. Blue States No. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. . Error! In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. Since a 25-25 tie following the 1992 elections, Republicans have held the Senate in every subsequent election, their power peaking after 2016 with a 34-16 supermajority.
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